Goldman says UAE's exit from OPEC raises medium-term oil supply upside risk

April 29 (Reuters) - Goldman Sachs on Wednesday said the United Arab Emirates exit from OPEC poses a greater upside ‌risk to oil supply over the medium term than ‌in the short term.

Reuters

The UAE said on Tuesday it would leave OPEC and the ​wider OPEC+ alliance from May 1, a move that weakens the producer group's control over global oil supplies and could eventually give Abu Dhabi more room to raise output once Gulf export routes reopen.

• ‌The bank said the ⁠exit followed years of discussions over the UAE's production quota and came in the current geopolitical and ⁠oil market context, with the UAE having faced significant attacks from Iran, an OPEC member exempt from production quotas.

• Oil prices surged over ​6% on ​Wednesday as deadlocked U.S.-Iran negotiations ​made investors more concerned about ‌prolonged disruptions to Middle Eastern supply. [O/R]

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• Goldman said the effective closure of the Strait currently limits UAE output. However, the exit implies upside risk to the bank's base case that UAE crude production recovers to 3.8 million barrels per day by October 2026, compared ‌with 3.6 million bpd before the ​war. Goldman estimated the UAE's potential crude ​production at just over ​4.5 million bpd by February 2026.

• The bank ‌said its base case assumes cumulative ​Gulf crude production ​losses of 1.83 billion barrels by December 2026, with global oil inventories needing to be replenished once the Strait reopens.

• ​ADNOC, the UAE's ‌national oil producer, aims to raise production capacity to 5 ​million bpd by 2027, the bank added.

(Reporting by Anushree ​Mukherjee in BengaluruEditing by Nick Zieminski)

Goldman says UAE's exit from OPEC raises medium-term oil supply upside risk

April 29 (Reuters) - Goldman Sachs on Wednesday said the United Arab Emirates exit from OPEC poses a greater upside ‌risk to oil supply...
Kurdish militant official says Turkey has stalled peace talks, blaming a lack of reforms

IRBIL, Iraq (AP) — A peace initiative to end a decades-long conflict withKurdish militantshas been effectively “frozen” by the Turkish government, a top militant commander said on Thursday.

Associated Press FILE - Forces of the regional Kurdish administration secure the area of the Jasana Cave ahead of a symbolic disarmament ceremony by the separatist PKK group as part of the peace process with Turkey, in Sulaymaniyah governorate, Iraq, July 11, 2025. (AP Photo/Hadi Mizban, File) FILE - Forces of the regional Kurdish administration secure the area of the Jasana Cave ahead of a symbolic disarmament ceremony by the separatist PKK group as part of the peace process with Turkey, in Sulaymaniyah governorate, Iraq, July 11, 2025. (AP Photo/Hadi Mizban, File)

Iraq Turkey PKK

He and another officials with the group accused Ankara of failing to enact legal and political reforms needed to move the process forward, contradicting recent optimistic statements by Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan.

Murat Karayilan, a co-founder of the Kurdistan Workers’ Party, or PKK, and one of its most senior leaders, said in an interview with the PKK-linked ANF news outlet that his group had taken major steps as part of the peace effort,including declaring a ceasefireand an end to its armed struggle.

“The process is currently frozen. That’s what we’ve been able to see and what has been reported to us," the outlet quoted Karayilan as saying. “We, as a movement, have fulfilled our responsibilities at this stage. It is clear that we have done everything necessary for the government to take action.”

There was no immediate reaction from officials in Turkey to Karayilan’s remarks.

Last year, the PKK declared that it would disarm and disband as part of the new peace effort with Turkey, following a call by its imprisoned leader,Abdullah Ocalan. The PKK then staged a symbolic disarmament ceremony in northern Iraq, and later announced that it was withdrawing fighters from some key locations in Turkey to Iraq.

Earlier this year, a Turkishparliamentary committeerecommended a series of reforms to advance the initiative, including the reintegration of PKK members who renounce violence, while stressing that legal steps should be tied to state security institutions verifying that the group has surrendered its weapons.

Karayilan said that Turkish government and ruling party officials had set April as the month in which legislation advancing the process would be brought to parliament, a deadline that has now passed with no bill introduced.

He accused the Turkish government of failing to implement even basicmeasures recommended by the committee,including releasing opposition politicians and activists from prison.

Ocalan himself also remains imprisoned. Karayilan said that the PKK’s decision at its 12th Congress to end its armed struggle and dissolve itself was approved on the condition that Ocalan personally manage the disarmament process, meaning, he said, that the group’s own internal mandate can't move forward while its leader remains in prison.

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In a separate statement to The Associated Press, Zagros Hiwa, spokesperson for the Kurdistan Communities Union, a political organization linked with the PKK, said that the organization had taken several steps in line with Ocalan’s call. But Hiwa said that Turkish forces continue to operate in parts of northern Iraq, government-appointed administrators still occupy the seats of elected Kurdish mayors in Turkey and that thousands of Kurdish and Turkish political prisoners remain jailed.

“The Turkish state has taken no legal and political steps towards peace and has been continuing war-time policies under new rhetoric,” he said, adding that Ocalan remains under solitary confinement on Imrali island off Istanbul, where he has been imprisoned since his capture in 1999.

Hiwa accused the Turkish government of “instrumentalizing” the process to consolidate the governing party's grip on power and boost its standing in upcoming elections, rather than seeking a genuine settlement.

“What happens next totally depends on the attitudes of the Turkish state,” Hiwa said. He warned that the impasse could carry “precarious implications.”

The PKK officials' suggestion that the peace process has stalled contradicted a statement by Erdogan, who a day earlier told legislators from his governing party, that the peace efforts were moving in a positive atmosphere.

“The process is proceeding as it should,” Erdogan said. “Those who write pessimistic scenarios about the process are acting entirely on their delusions, not on facts.

The PKK has waged an armed insurgency since 1984, which has claimed tens of thousands of lives and spilled into neighboring Iraq and Syria. It's designated a terrorist organization by Turkey, the United States and the European Union.

The group initially sought an independent Kurdish state but later shifted to demands for autonomy and expanded rights in Turkey.

Suzan Fraser contributed to this report from Ankara, Turkey.

Kurdish militant official says Turkey has stalled peace talks, blaming a lack of reforms

IRBIL, Iraq (AP) — A peace initiative to end a decades-long conflict withKurdish militantshas been effectively “frozen” by the Turkish ...
US Treasury warns shippers not to pay Hormuz tolls, even in form of charity

By Timothy Gardner

Reuters

WASHINGTON, May 1 (Reuters) - Any shippers paying tolls to Iran for passage through the Strait of ‌Hormuz, including charitable donations to organizations such as the ‌Iranian Red Crescent Society, are at risk of punitive sanctions, the U.S. ​Treasury warned on Friday.

The Strait of Hormuz is one of the world’s most strategically vital maritime routes, with about 20% of the world’s seaborne crude oil and liquefied natural gas flows passing ‌through it.

Tehran has proposed ⁠fees or tolls on vessels passing through the Strait, as part of proposals to end the ⁠war with Israel and the United States.

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The advisory, from Treasury's Office of Foreign Assets Control, said the U.S. is aware of ​Iranian threats ​to shipping and demands for ​payments to receive safe ‌passage through the Strait.

The warning came as Iran sent its latest proposal for negotiations with the U.S. to Pakistani mediators, a move that could improve prospects for breaking an impasse in efforts to end the Iran war.

OFAC said demands may include ‌several payment options, including fiat currency, ​digital assets, offsets, informal swaps, or ​other in-kind payments, such ​as nominally charitable donations made to the Iranian ‌Red Crescent Society, Bonyad Mostazafan, ​or Iranian embassy ​accounts.

"OFAC is issuing this alert to warn U.S. and non-U.S. persons about the sanctions risks of making these payments ​to, or soliciting ‌guarantees from, the Iranian regime for safe passage," it ​said. "These risks exist regardless of payment method."

(Reporting by Timothy ​Gardner; Editing by Chizu Nomiyama )

US Treasury warns shippers not to pay Hormuz tolls, even in form of charity

By Timothy Gardner WASHINGTON, May 1 (Reuters) - Any shippers paying tolls to Iran for passage through the Strait of ‌Hormuz, inc...
How Trump's DHS deports people to prisons in countries they don’t know

Pheap Rom thought he was being transferred toanother detention centerwhen last fall he saw “Eswatini” onhis paperwork.

USA TODAY U.S. spending millions to send migrants to third countries,

Instead, the 43-year-old Cambodian refugee was put on a plane to thesmall African kingdomand held for months in a maximum-security prison, where he had no legal status, no charges against him and little ability to challenge his confinement.

With that imprisonment, Rom joined a growing number of migrants caught in a broader shift inU.S. deportation policy. Over the last year, the Trump administration has dramatically expanded a little-known tactic of sending migrants to countries where they have no ties. Critics say this outsources detention to foreign governments − often with records of human rights abuses, minimal oversight and unclear legal protections.

In more than two dozen countries, deportees like Rom have been held in hotels, shelters and prisons under agreements brokered by the United States during PresidentDonald Trump's second term.

Cambodian Pheap Rom poses at a restaurant in Phnom Penh on March 30, 2026, days after being released from a maximum security prison in Eswatini. The Trump administration deported him to the tiny African nation, where he was held in prison for over five months.

"They’re just being snatched up, thrown on a plane and sent out to these countries," Rom told USA TODAY in a video call from Cambodia, where he's lived since late March, after spending over five months in an Eswatini prison. Rom is just the second person released from Eswatini's Matsapha Correctional Centre, where at least 19 people deported from the United States have been held.

Rom had served a 15-year prison sentence for attempted murder in Pennsylvania, and after doing his time, federal officials shuffled him to several immigrant detention centers over the course of nearly 11 months. Due to his conviction, Rom figured he’d likely be deported to Cambodia, where his family fled from a genocide before he was born in a refugee camp in neighboring Thailand.

TheTrump administrationhad different plans when they sent him and nine others on a plane to Eswatini from Louisiana on Oct. 4.

Lawyers dispute where he’s sent

Rom arrived to the United States as a 3-year-old refugee in 1985 and got a green card in 1987. He was convicted in 2009 of attempted murder, aggravated assault and unlawful possession of a firearm. His lawyer, Tin Thanh Nguyen, said the incident stemmed from self-defense after a group of men tried to shoot him and he fired his weapon back.

In separate statements, the Department of Homeland Security said Rom received due process and was originally removed to Thailand, where Rom has no citizenship. After USA TODAY sent federal officials evidence provided by Rom and Nguyen of his detention in Eswatini and return to Cambodia, DHS sent a second statement saying Rom was sent to Eswatini.

Federal records show an immigration judge issued Rom's removal order in 2010.

"We are applying the law as written," a DHS statement said. "If a judge finds an illegal alien has no right to be in this country, we are going to remove them. Period."

The United States has long deported immigrants without legal status who are convicted of crimes. American officials typically contact the person’s origin country to facilitate their removal.

Human rights group criticizes ‘enforced disappearances’ by US

Before Trump’s second term, a person's deportation due to their immigration status hasn't meant another country incarcerates them.

American law doesn’t prohibit someone from being sent to another country, but immigration officials seldom did so, according to Dara Lind, a senior fellow at the American Immigration Council, an immigrant rights advocacy organization. It happened only when someone couldn’t be returned to certain home countries such as Cuba, often due to strained relations with the United States.

Nguyen said the federal government didn’t contact Cambodia to facilitate Rom’s removal to Eswatini, Africa’s only absolute monarchy, which has about 1.1 million residents. Cambodia’s foreign ministry previously told theFrench news agency AFPit accepts deportees from the United States, so it was unclear why Rom ended up in Eswatini’s prison. Cambodia's foreign ministry didn't respond to emailed requests for comment.

Since January 2025, the Trump administration has formed third-country removal agreements with at least 27 countries, mostly in Africa and Latin America, according to theMigration Policy Institute, an American think tank.

In response to emailed questions about the agreements, the State Department declined to comment on details of diplomatic communications. A State Department statement said implementing Trump’s immigration policies is a top priority.

Lind said the agreements fall into uncharted territory, with no clear rights for deportees, nor the legal or criminal frameworks to hold them. Agreements made publicly available in court battles and public record requests, such as forEl Salvador,RwandaandEswatini, have included language assuring that countries uphold international law around protections for refugees and against torture.

In September, Human Rights Watch, a New York-based nonprofit watchdog, saidremoval deals made with African countrieshave put hundreds of people at risk of arbitrary detention, ill treatment and forced relocation of refugees or asylum seekers to countries where they’re likely to face persecution.

“The United States is doing enforced disappearances,” Nicole Waddersheim, deputy Washington director at Human Rights Watch, said, calling the practice a human rights abuse. “The onus is on the United States, and they’ll say it’s on the host country, to find these people that they deported.”

The administration’s policy began with a$4.76 million agreement with El Salvador, where nearly 250 Venezuelan men — most of whom were asylum seekers with no criminal record — were sent on military flights in March 2025 to anotorious mega-prison. Some people have alleged torture and sexual assault inside the prison, called theTerrorism Confinement Center.

The United States has even sanctioned some countries it now entrusts to hold deportees, such as Rwanda, a central African country whosemilitary officials were sanctioned by the U.S. Treasury Department in March. Despite that, Rwanda maintains a contract with the U.S. to house up to 250 people under a $7.5 million agreement. As of January, at least seven people have been sent to Rwanda at an estimated cost of around $1.1 million per detainee.

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High costs for third-country removals

The Trump administration has not released an official tally on people deported or total costs for the federal program. However, Sen. Jeanne Shaheen, D-New Hampshire, the ranking member on the Senate Foreign Relations Committee,released a report in Februaryestimating the program has included around 300 migrants and cost over $40 million as of Jan. 31.

“The Administration’s third country deportations deals are wasteful, cruel and putting U.S. credibility abroad at risk,” Shaheen said in a statement to USA TODAY.

George Fishman, a former DHS official in the first Trump administration and a senior fellow at the Center for Immigration Studies, which advocates for stricter immigration policy, said third-country removals can be used to instill fear in immigrants without legal status of what could happen if they stay in the United States, which gives them an incentive to leave on their own.

President Donald Trump meets with El Salvador's President Nayib Bukele in the Oval Office of the White House on April 14, 2025. Bukele, the self-described "world's coolest dictator," was Trump's key ally in a controversial push to deport migrants to a notorious Salvadoran prison.

The practice gives the United States leverage to force countries to accept migrants by placing their citizens in legal limbo and unpleasant conditions, he said.

“If you don’t enter into one of these agreements,” Fishman said, “you may see things you don’t like.”

Thememorandum of understanding with Eswatini, signed in May 2025, allowed the United States to send up to 160 people there under a $5.1 million agreement. But with only 19 known detainees, that cost comes to over $413,000 per detainee, according to Shaheen's report. Rom, who has a mother in her 70s and a daughter in college in Pennsylvania, wonders whether Americans know how much they’ve paid to hold people like him indefinitely and without any criminal charges.

In Eswatini, Rom described the prison as having mold and infestations of bugs, especially mosquitoes. Prison guards listened in to detainees' calls, he said, which were limited to around one 10-minute call per week. In early April,deportees in Eswatini won a high court casefor the right to meet with local lawyers in the country.

Only one other person, a Jamaican man, has been released from Eswatini’s prison. In July,Jamaican foreign affairs minister Kamina Johnson Smith saidon X that American officials never contacted the country's officials about moving to facilitate his removal.

In this file photo from Mbabane, Eswatini, on Aug. 22, 2025, local activists are challenging a secretive agreement with former U.S. President Donald Trump's administration to accept third-country deportees, which they argue is unconstitutional.

The practice is akin to human trafficking, said Nguyen, who also represents third-countrydetainees in South Sudan, which is on the verge of civil war. Around eight immigrants, including nationals from Laos, Vietnam and Mexico, were originally deported to South Sudan, where Nguyen says he has no contact with his clients.

“I'm afraid that we're setting the precedent for other people in the future to be detained abroad,” Nguyen said.

In February, a Massachusetts federal judge, appointed by former President Joe Biden, found the administration’s third-country removal policy illegal. But in March, the 1st Circuit Court of Appealsgranted the administration’s requestto pause the Massachusetts ruling as the court reviews expedited appeal.

In mid-April, theDemocratic Republic of Congo became the latest country to accept people, despite the African nationexperiencing armed conflict. Around 15 migrants, mostly from Latin America, are being held in a Kinshasa hotel. While the agreement details haven’t been made public, lawyers said detainees in Congo have orders withholding removal, in which an immigration judge found they were likely to face persecution in their home country if they were deported.

Pheap Rom, 43, now in Cambodia, is looking to rebuild his new life after the United States sent him to a maximum-security prison in Eswatini, in southern Africa, for over five months.

Deportees left only with 'bad options'

U.S.-based lawyer Alma David represents one person held in Congo, along with others held in Cameroon, where more than a dozen people have been placed in a dormitory-style shelter. She also represents deportees in Eswatini, including men from Yemen, Haiti, Cuba and another who is stateless.

David said there appears to be a pattern of what she called “extra-hemispheric deportation." For example, she said, American officials tend to place Latin Americans in Africa, while people from African countries are often sent to Costa Rica, in Central America.

The practice coerces people into dropping immigrant protection claims, including seeking asylum, David said, adding people are left with only "bad options."

“Maybe choosing the familiar-bad over the unfamiliar-bad is the preferred option,” she said.

Rom had no choice left by the time he was imprisoned again, this time in Eswatini. Through his lawyer, he was able to contact Cambodian officials, who facilitated his travel to the capital Phnom Penh. He arrived on March 26, more than five months after he said he was forced on a plane from the United States.

When he arrived to Cambodia, he recalled asking his friend for permission to leave the house. He didn’t step outside for days.

Instead, he said he'd look out the window, afraid to leave to start his new life in another country where he had never been.

Lauren Villagranof USA TODAY contributed to this report.

Eduardo Cuevas is based in New York City. Reach him by email atemcuevas1@usatoday.comor on Signal at emcuevas.01.

This article originally appeared on USA TODAY:Inside Trump's globetrotting third-country removal program

How Trump's DHS deports people to prisons in countries they don’t know

Pheap Rom thought he was being transferred toanother detention centerwhen last fall he saw “Eswatini” onhis paperwork. Instead, t...
With mass evacuation warnings, Israel upends lives and reshapes south Lebanon

HARET SAIDA, Lebanon (AP) — The warnings to flee come suddenly: Texts pinging thousands of phones, automated calls from strange numbers, hard-to-read maps shared on social media by an Israeli military spokesperson.

Associated Press Hussein Farran whose six members of his family were killed in a Israeli airstrike in Kfar Hatta village, visits their graves at a cemetery where civilians and Hezbollah fighters are temporary buried in the southern port city of Sidon, Lebanon, Tuesday, April 14, 2026. (AP Photo/Mohammed Zaatari) Zeinab Zeitoun, 50, right, and her husband Mohammed Farran, 60, whose six members of their family were killed in a an Israeli airstrike in Kfar Hatta village, visit their graves at a cemetery where civilians and Hezbollah fighters temporary buried in the southern port city of Sidon, Lebanon, Tuesday, April 14, 2026. (AP Photo/Mohammed Zaatari) Ali al-Salim, who fled his southern hometown of Siddiqin for a school shelter in Haret Saida after an anonymous caller identifying himself as from the Israeli military urged him to flee, gestures during an interview with the Associated Press in the southern port city of Sidon, Lebanon, Tuesday, April 14, 2026. (AP Photo/Mohammed Zaatari) Displaced children play with a ball at a school backyard that turned into a shelter for people who fled the Israeli airstrikes on their villages, in the southern port city of Sidon, Lebanon, Tuesday, April 14, 2026. (AP Photo/Mohammed Zaatari) FILE - Smoke rises following several Israeli airstrikes that hit without previous warning Beirut's southern suburbs and central Beirut, Lebanon, Wednesday, April 8, 2026. (AP Photo/Hassan Ammar, File)

Lebanon Israel Evacuation Warnings

Some maps cover broad swaths of Lebanon; others show specific buildings. Sometimesthere is no warning at allbefore strikes, which have continued despitea nominal ceasefirebetween Israel and the Iran-backed Hezbollah militant group.

The warnings cause a rush to collect children and older relatives, and leave families with agonizing choices as they race for the blurry edges of the red-shaded maps. Entire villages have emptied, withover a million people fleeingat the height of the fighting.Unlike Israel, Lebanon has no air raid sirens or missile defenses, and no designated bomb shelters.

Israel says the warnings aim to keep civilians out of harm's way. It says Hezbollah has positioned fighters, tunnels and weapons in civilian areas across southern Lebanon, from which it has launchedhundreds of drones and missiles— without warning — into northern Israel.

International law experts say Israel's warnings are inconsistent and often overly broad and open-ended. They also come as Israel says itplans to occupya 10 kilometer (6-mile) wide buffer zone along the border and prevent people from returning until the threat from Hezbollah has been eliminated.

Alerts spark panicked flights

The latest war erupted on March 2, when, after holding its fire since a2024 truce, Hezbollah launched a surprise barrage of missiles into northern Israel in retaliation for the United States and Israelattacking Iran.

Israel has posted 132 online alerts since then — including seven covering over 50 towns in southern Lebanon since the ceasefiretook effect on April 17.

Residents say the narrowly targeted warnings often come with short notice, causing chaos and confusion.

Ward Zein al-Din, 56, said that she heard glass shatter from shrapnel just minutes after her father received a call from the Israeli military that made him scream. They have since fled their southern village and taken shelter in a school. “I didn’t think we would survive,” she said.

Then there are the maps shared on social media by Israel's Arabic-speaking military spokesperson, Lt. Col. Avichay Adraee, urging the entire population to relocate north of the Litani River, some 30 kilometers (20 miles) from the border, and in some cases even further north.

His blanket warnings also emptied out Beirut's crowdedsouthern suburbs, where Hezbollah has a strong presence, though many people have since returned. The United Nations says large numbers of people remain displaced across the country, including over 150,000 in tent camps.

“A legal tool is being used to achieve forced displacement,” said Hussein Badreddine, a Lebanese expert in international law at the University of Sydney. “When you evacuate entire areas and keep the orders open-ended, that’s when the legality comes into question.”

In response to numerous questions, the Israeli military said it issues warnings by phone, text, radio broadcast, social media and leaflets dropped from the air, in accordance with the “principles of distinction, proportionality and feasible precautions” under international law.

No warning before strikes that killed more than 350 people

There was no warningon April 8, when Israel struck a hundred targets in rapid succession,killing more than 350 people, including indowntown Beirut. It was one of the deadliest attacks in Lebanon's troubled history.

The military said Hezbollah commanders and operatives “were expected to be present at many of the sites.” It remains unclear how many Hezbollah members were killed. More than 100 of those killed were women and children.

There have also been warnings without strikes. Earlier this month, Israelwarned it would attackthe main border crossing between Lebanon and Syria, forcing it to close for several days. The strike never came.

A dreaded late-night post

Airstrikes shook the village of Kafr Tebnit when the war broke out. Adraee posted on X that residents should move to “no less than 1,000 meters (yards) outside the village.”

Hussein Farran headed to the city of Nabatiyeh, where he works for an electricity company. His wife, Rola Nahleh, and their 4-year-old daughter, Amal, joined relatives in Kfar Hatta, some 17 kilometers (10 miles) outside Adraee's red zone.

A month later, at 11:29 p.m. on April 4, Adraee called on residents to leave Kfar Hatta. It was one of 26 urgent warnings throughout the war posted between 10:30 p.m. and 6:30 a.m.

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“When warnings are issued in the middle of the night, on platforms that not everyone uses, you can't expect everyone to get up and leave immediately,” said Kristine Beckerle of Amnesty International. “You have people stuck on the road for 12, 13 hours trying to leave. You have elderly people who can't move quickly.”

Nahleh told her husband by phone that hundreds of people were fleeing, many wearing their pajamas. They agreed it was safest to wait out the chaos until daybreak.

Two Israeli missiles hit their apartment at around 3 a.m., killing Nahleh, her mother, father, brother, sister and Amal, who had just started kindergarten.

“Even if they gave us a warning, how does it justify killing a civilian family?” Farran asked, gazing at their graves — cardboard signs smeared with handwritten Arabic because the war has made a proper burial in their village impossible.

“They weren't given a real chance,” he said.

‘No safety,’ even after the truce

At first, Ali al-Salim thought it was a prank call, or a scammer trying to rob his abandoned house, as happened to his family during a previous war. The country code said Germany, but the caller identified himself as an Israeli officer and told al-Salim to evacuate north immediately.

As airstrikes inched closer, al-Salim, his wife and three sons fled their southern village of Siddiqin and arrived at a school in Haret Saida after 18 hours in bumper-to-bumper traffic.

Analysts say the Israeli military often uses randomly generated international numbers since phone calls are not permitted between the two countries, technically at war for decades.

“There is no way to know if a call is real or fake,” said Roland Abi Najem, a Lebanese cybersecurity expert. “The Israeli military benefits from the chaos that helps create a mass exodus.”

The military declined to comment on how it calls Lebanese numbers.

Several days after fleeing, al-Salim heard that his home was hit by an Israeli missile. The shelter proved just as dangerous.

One of the targets that Israel hitwithout warning on April 8was a neighboring Shiite mosque, where displaced people took showers. The explosion knocked al-Salim’s 14-year-old son, Ali, unconscious and shredded his left leg.

“The bombing can happen at any moment. There is no safety at all,” said Ali, now using crutches. “I've never felt this kind of fear.”

The ceasefirehas done littleto dispel it.

Forced to flee his southern hometown of Shaqra at the start of the war, Mohammad Shahadat waited a week into the ceasefire to return. Encouraged by neighbors who said the situation was calm, he made the journey home last week.

Days later, he was back in a flimsy tent in Beirut after another Israeli warning.

“We didn't know where to go,” he said.

Associated Press journalist Bassam Hatoum contributed.

With mass evacuation warnings, Israel upends lives and reshapes south Lebanon

HARET SAIDA, Lebanon (AP) — The warnings to flee come suddenly: Texts pinging thousands of phones, automated calls from strange numbers...

 

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