Women's Final 4 predictions: Who will advance to 2026 national championship?

Women's Final 4 predictions: Who will advance to 2026 national championship?

Yes, theWomen's Final Fourwill feature the same teams as last season.

USA TODAY Sports

But the four No. 1 seeds —UConn, UCLA, Texas and South Carolina— all made it clear with several statement wins in the Women's NCAA Tournament, they belong in Phoenix.

The No. 1 overall seeded Huskies won their four March Madness games by an average of 25 points each and are riding a 54-game winning streak dating back to last season as defending national champions. The remainder of the field has seven total losses this season.

UConn will play South Carolina, a rematch of last season's national title game, in the first semifinal on April 3 (7 p.m. ET, ESPN). UCLA will follow against Texas, the only team to best them this season, in the second semifinal (9:30 p.m. ET, ESPN).

USA TODAY Sports will have comprehensive coverage this week leading into Friday's national semifinals, but before we get to Phoenix, here's a look at our initial Final Four predictions:

2026 Women's Final Four predictions: Who advances to national championship?

<p style=The Alabama bench celebrate after a big three-point shot by Alabama Crimson Tide guard Karly Weathers (22) in the fourth quarter against Louisville during the 2026 NCAA Women's March Madness Second Round basketball at the KFC Yum Center In Louisville, Ky. Weathers finished with 13 points. March 23, 2026.

" style="max-width:100%; height:auto; border-radius:6px; margin:10px 0;" loading="lazy" /> Laura Ziegler of the Louisville Cardinals kisses the court after her team's 69-68 victory over the Alabama Crimson Tide in the second round of the 2026 NCAA Women's Basketball Tournament at KFC YUM! Center on March 23, 2026 in Louisville, Ky. Ohio State mascot Brutus Buckeye and the Notre Dame Fighting Irish leprechaun mascot cheer prior to the NCAA women's basketball tournament second round game at the Jerome Schottenstein Center in Columbus on March 23, 2026. Louisville fans cheer during a first-round game between the Louisville Cardinals and Vermont Catamounts in the 2026 NCAA WomenâÕs Basketball Tournament at the KFC Yum Center, March 21, 2026, in Louisville, Ky. The Notre Dame Fighting Irish huddle up prior to the start of the NCAA Women's Basketball Tournament Second Round game against the Ohio State Buckeyes at Jerome Schottenstein Center on March 23, 2026 in Columbus, Ohio. Notre Dame defeated Ohio Sate 83-73. A Louisville fan held a sign in the final seconds as the Cards defeated Alabama 69-68 to move on to the Sweet 16 during the 2026 NCAA Women's March Madness Second Round basketball at the KFC Yum Center In Louisville, Ky. March 23, 2026. Alabama mascot Big Al works the crowd during a first-round game between the Rhode Island Rams and Alabama Crimson Tide in the 2026 NCAA WomenÕs Basketball Tournament at the KFC Yum Center, March 21, 2026, in Louisville, Ky. The Ohio State Buckeyes sit for the starting lineup prior to the NCAA women's basketball tournament second round game against the Notre Dame Fighting Irish at the Jerome Schottenstein Center in Columbus on March 23, 2026. Ohio State Buckeyes fans react to a foul call during the NCAA women's basketball tournament second round game against the Notre Dame Fighting Irish at the Jerome Schottenstein Center in Columbus on March 23, 2026. A member of the Louisville Cardinals band performs during the third quarter against the Alabama Crimson Tide in the second round of the 2026 NCAA Women's Basketball Tournament at KFC YUM! Center on March 23, 2026 in Louisville, Ky. A player spins a basketball branded with the NCAA logo before a game between the Alabama Crimson Tide and the Louisville Cardinals in the second round of the 2026 NCAA Women's Basketball Tournament at KFC YUM! Center on March 23, 2026 in Louisville, Ky. The Iowa State Cyclones mascot on the court during a break against the Syracuse Orange in the first half at Harry A. Gampel Pavilion in Storrs, Ct. on Mar 21, 2026. Guard Kylie Feuerbach #4 of the Iowa Hawkeyes interacts with fans after a match-up against the FDU Knights on March 21, 2026 at Carver-Hawkeye Arena during the first round of the NCAA Women's Basketball Tournament in Iowa City, Iowa.

See women's March Madness 2026, from mascots and fans to celebrities

The Alabama bench celebrate after a big three-point shot by Alabama Crimson Tide guard Karly Weathers (22) in the fourth quarter against Louisville during the2026 NCAA Women's March MadnessSecond Round basketball at the KFC Yum Center In Louisville, Ky. Weathers finished with 13 points. March 23, 2026.

UConn vs. South Carolina prediction

Heather Burns:UConn.The result will be the same as last year's championship game between the two teams, but let's hope for closer contest. UConn's deep roster and experience in big game situations should help it to prevail. Yes, the Huskies offense runs through Sarah Strong and Azzi Fudd but players like Blanca Quiñonez, KK Arnold and Allie Ziebell have all proven they can take over a game offensively. South Carolina doesn't have the depth to go player for player with UConn.

Megan L. Hall: UConn.Despite having seven players on the roster who have played in a Final Four, only two South Carolina players have won a championship. On the other side, UConn has six players who were on last year's championship team and understand the level of play it takes to win the title. With a trip to the national title game on the line, I'm concerned about South Carolina melting under UConn's suffocating defensive pressure, causing them to falter when the lights are the brightest.

Cydney Henderson: UConn.UConn's depth and experience make them dangerous. Sarah Strong and Azzi Fudd are UConn's go-to for offensive production, but Blanca Quiñonez has been a difference maker for the Huskies. Quiñonez dropped 20 points in UConn's Elite Eight win over Notre Dame. South Carolina won't be able to stop everyone.

Mitchell Northam: South Carolina. There are two areas in which UConn has shown some vulnerability this season: rebounding and defending the 3-pointer. South Carolina is elite in both areas, ranking fourth nationally in 3-point shooting percentage this season and inside the top 15 in seven different rebounding statistics. It's also hard to imagine there's going to be a player on the floor on Friday night more motivated to win than Gamecocks point guard Raven Johnson, who is playing in her fourth Final Four and looking to avenge a loss to UConn in last year's title game.

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<p style=Michigan State's Rashunda Jones (1) walks off the court following a second-round game in the NCAA women's basketball tournament between the Oklahoma Sooners and Michigan State Spartans at Lloyd Noble Center in Norman, Okla., Sunday March 22, 2026.

" style="max-width:100%; height:auto; border-radius:6px; margin:10px 0;" loading="lazy" /> Denae Fritz #5 of the Texas Tech Lady Raiders reacts after a game against the LSU Tigers in the second round of the 2026 NCAA Women's Basketball Tournament at Pete Maravich Assembly Center on March 22, 2026 in Baton Rouge, Louisiana. Forward Hannah Stuelke #45 of the Iowa Hawkeyes reacts after a double overtime loss to the Virginia Cavaliers in the second round of the NCAA women's basketball tournament at Carver-Hawkeye Arena on March 23, 2026 in Iowa City, Iowa. Forward Hannah Stuelke #45 of the Iowa Hawkeyes hugs her mother after the double overtime loss to the Virginia Cavaliers in the second round of the NCAA women's basketball tournament at Carver-Hawkeye Arena on March 23, 2026 in Iowa City, Iowa. Chance Gray #2 of the Ohio State Buckeyes and Kennedy Cambridge #3 sit on the bench as time runs down in the fourth quarter of the NCAA Women's Basketball Tournament Second Round game against the Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Jerome Schottenstein Center on March 23, 2026 in Columbus, Ohio. Notre Dame defeated Ohio Sate 83-73. Head coach Krista Gerlich of the Texas Tech Lady Raiders reacts during the second half of a game against the LSU Tigers in the second round of the 2026 NCAA Women's Basketball Tournament at Pete Maravich Assembly Center on March 22, 2026 in Baton Rouge, Louisiana. Snudda Collins #0 of the Texas Tech Lady Raiders reacts during the second half of a game against the LSU Tigers in the second round of the 2026 NCAA Women's Basketball Tournament at Pete Maravich Assembly Center on March 22, 2026 in Baton Rouge, Louisiana. <p style=Kamy Peppler #1 of the Green Bay Phoenix reacts against the Minnesota Golden Gophers in the third quarter during the First Round of the Women's NCAA Tournament at Williams Arena on March 20, 2026 in Minneapolis, Minnesota. The Golden Gophers defeated the Phoenix 75-58.

" style="max-width:100%; height:auto; border-radius:6px; margin:10px 0;" loading="lazy" /> Audi Crooks #55 of the Iowa State Cyclones reacts during the second half in the first round of the 2026 NCAA Women's Basketball Tournament against the Syracuse Orange at Harry A. Gampel Pavilion on March 21, 2026 in Storrs, Connecticut. The Vermont women's basketball team starters consoled each other as the Caramounts lost to Louisville at the 2026 NCAA Women's March Madness basketball tournament at the KFC Yum Center In Louisville, Kentucky, March 21, 2026. Rhode Island Rams head coach Tammi Reiss gives a hug to Rhode Island Rams guard Sophia Vital (15) in the waning moments of the Rams' loss to Alabama in the 2026 NCAA Women's March Madness basketball tournament at the KFC Yum Center In Louisville, Kentucky, March 21, 2026. Comari Mitchell #5 of the Jacksonville Dolphins reacts during the second half of the game against the LSU Tigers in the first round of the 2026 NCAA Women's Basketball Tournament at Pete Maravich Assembly Center on March 20, 2026 in Baton Rouge, Louisiana. Bailey Burns #11 of the Jacksonville Dolphins exits the court after the game against the LSU Tigers in first round of the 2026 NCAA Women's Basketball Tournament at Pete Maravich Assembly Center on March 20, 2026 in Baton Rouge, Louisiana.

March Sadness hits hard in the Women's NCAA basketball tournament

Michigan State's Rashunda Jones (1) walks off the court following a second-round game in theNCAA women's basketballtournament between the Oklahoma Sooners and Michigan State Spartans at Lloyd Noble Center in Norman, Okla., Sunday March 22, 2026.

UCLA vs. Texas

Heather Burns: UCLA. The Bruins have lost one game all season and it was to theLonghorns. But, if UCLA does what it does best and continues to go inside-out, looking first for Lauren Betts, it should avenge the Texas defeat. The Bruins have to take care of the basketball, if they have 20 turnovers -- like in their first meeting with the Longhorns -- all bets are off.

Megan L. Hall: UCLA.The lone loss on UCLA's schedule this season is to Texas. The Bruins are a much different team since that moment and will not let Texas beat them twice. The Bruins will lean on its six WNBA draft prospects to get them back to the Final Four. Lauren Betts will lead the charge with a 25-point double-double.

Cydney Henderson: Texas.The Bruins have gotten off to several slow starts in the tournament and they can't do that against a Texas team that is rolling. Madison Booker and Rori Harmon are playing inspired basketball, but the team's defense has been even more impressive. It's hard to beat a good team twice, but Texas will hand UCLA its second loss of the season.

Mitchell Northam: UCLA.UCLA showed in its win over Duke that, while it is an elite 3-point shooting team, it doesn't need to rely on long-range shots to win. The Bruins hammered the Blue Devils inside with 6-foot-7 center Lauren Betts and let their veteran guards shine. Texas is a great defensive team -- and the only team to beat UCLA this season -- but the Bruins have too much talent, too many weapons and too many ways it can beat an opponent to allow a second loss to the Longhorns.

Where is the Women's Final Four?

  • Location: Mortgage Matchup Center (Phoenix)

The Final Four of the 2026 NCAA women's basketball tournament will be held at Mortgage Matchup Center in Phoenix, the home venue of theNBA'sPhoenix SunsandWNBA'sPhoenix Mercury.

It will be the first time the state of Arizona has ever hosted the Women's Final Four, though it has previously hosted the men's twice, most recently in 2024 when it was played at State Farm Stadium in Glendale.

Final Four dates

  • Dates: April 3-5

The two national semifinals of the Final Four will be held on Friday, April 3. The winners of those matchups will then advance to face off in the national championship game on Sunday, April 5.

Final Four schedule

All times are Eastern.

  • No. 1 UConn vs. No. 1 South Carolina, 7 p.m.

  • No. 1 UCLA vs. No. 1 Texas, 9:30 p.m.

If the field looks familiar, that's because it is. For the second straight season, the four teams left standing in the women's bracket are UConn, South Carolina, UCLA and Texas.

The Final Four will tip off with a between No. 1 seeds UConn and South Carolina at 7 p.m. ET. Both programs will be looking to add another historic chapter, as the Huskies will be playing in their 25th Final Four and the Gamecocks make their eighth appearance under Dawn Staley and fifth consecutive.

Following that up will be another clash of No. 1 seeds UCLA and Texas in a rematch from their Nov. 26 meeting in which theLonghornshanded the Bruins their only loss of the season. Since then, UCLA has won 29 straight.

This article originally appeared on USA TODAY:Women's Final 4 predictions: Who will advance to 2026 national championship?

 

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